IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
N.C. A&T
Mid-Eastern
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	-8.8	#309
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	80.1	#12
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-5.3	#313

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.6	#278

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	13.7%	29.0%	13.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.9	15.8	15.9

.500 or above	44.7%	81.7%	44.5%
.500 or above in Conference	54.7%	75.6%	54.6%
Conference Champion	6.7%	8.3%	6.7%
Last Place in Conference	1.7%	0.0%	1.7%

First Four	12.0%	15.1%	12.0%
First Round	7.0%	21.6%	6.9%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Illinois (Away) - 0.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 3	1 - 4	1 - 6
Quad 4	11 - 7	12 - 13

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 25, 2020	13	@ Illinois	L	61-88	1%
Nov 26, 2020	134	Ohio	L	71-82	17%
Nov 27, 2020	345	Chicago St.	W	74-65	79%
Dec 01, 2020	280	@ Charleston Southern	L	73-78	32%
Dec 03, 2020	317	@ The Citadel	L	87-88	45%
Dec 06, 2020	320	@ Longwood	L	73-74	46%
Dec 12, 2020	182	Western Carolina	L	81-86	34%
Dec 15, 2020	142	@ East Tennessee St.	L	67-80	12%
Dec 19, 2020	164	@ Charlotte	L	67-78	17%
Dec 22, 2020	84	UNC Greensboro	L	69-81	14%
Dec 29, 2020	244	Norfolk St.	L	73-74	48%
Jan 04, 2021	293	@ NC Central	L	71-75	36%
Jan 11, 2021	318	Florida A&M	W	79-74	65%
Jan 13, 2021	347	@ South Carolina St.	W	80-73	73%
Jan 16, 2021	293	NC Central	W	74-72	56%
Jan 23, 2021	318	@ Florida A&M	L	76-77	45%
Jan 27, 2021	347	@ South Carolina St.	W	80-73	72%
Jan 30, 2021	293	NC Central	W	74-72	56%
Feb 06, 2021	318	Florida A&M	W	79-74	65%
Feb 15, 2021	347	South Carolina St.	W	83-70	86%
Feb 20, 2021	318	@ Florida A&M	L	76-77	45%
Feb 27, 2021	347	South Carolina St.	W	83-70	86%
Mar 04, 2021	293	@ NC Central	L	71-75	36%
Projected Record						11 - 12	8 - 5

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st									0.1	0.5	1.3	2.0	1.9	1.0					6.7	1st
2nd							0.1	0.5	3.2	5.8	6.6	4.9	2.2	0.5					23.8	2nd
3rd						0.0	0.8	4.2	7.7	6.3	3.4	1.3	0.2	0.0					24.0	3rd
4th					0.0	0.7	4.2	6.1	3.7	1.2	0.2	0.0							16.1	4th
5th				0.0	0.6	3.5	5.6	2.3	0.6	0.0									12.6	5th
6th			0.0	0.4	2.3	3.8	1.2	0.1											7.9	6th
7th		0.0	0.1	1.2	2.1	0.8	0.1												4.4	7th
8th	0.0	0.1	0.5	1.1	0.7	0.1													2.4	8th
9th	0.0	0.2	0.7	0.5	0.0														1.5	9th
10th	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0														0.7	10th

Total	0.1	0.5	1.6	3.3	5.9	8.9	11.8	13.1	15.3	13.8	11.5	8.2	4.3	1.5						Total

Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3	63.4%	1.0		0.7	0.3	0.0
12-4	44.8%	1.9		1.2	0.6	0.1
11-5	24.5%	2.0		1.1	0.8	0.2	0.0
10-6	11.0%	1.3		0.5	0.6	0.2	0.0
9-7	3.3%	0.5		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0
8-8	0.5%	0.1			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

Total	6.7%	6.7		3.5	2.5	0.6	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3	1.5%		49.1%	49.1%		15.6														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.5	0.8
12-4	4.3%		37.1%	37.1%		15.8														0.0	0.0	0.2	1.4	2.7
11-5	8.2%		29.8%	29.8%		15.9															0.0	0.1	2.3	5.8
10-6	11.5%		22.7%	22.7%		16.0														0.0	0.0	0.0	2.6	8.9
9-7	13.8%		16.8%	16.8%		16.0																0.0	2.3	11.5
8-8	15.3%		11.9%	11.9%		16.0																0.0	1.8	13.5
7-9	13.1%		8.0%	8.0%		16.0																	1.0	12.1
6-10	11.8%		5.9%	5.9%		16.0																	0.7	11.1
5-11	8.9%		3.0%	3.0%		16.0																	0.3	8.6
4-12	5.9%		2.4%	2.4%		16.0																	0.1	5.7
3-13	3.3%		1.0%	1.0%		16.0																	0.0	3.3
2-14	1.6%																							1.6
1-15	0.5%																							0.5
0-16	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		13.7%	13.7%	0.0%	15.9														0.0	0.1	0.5	13.1	86.3		0.0%